By quite a lot!
Las Vegas Sun
"“Harry Reid always seems to find a way to win,” GOP strategist Greg Ferraro said. “He never wins big and he never wins pretty, and the rumors of his demise are always greatly exaggerated. He always finds a way.”
This time around, Reid’s path to re-election began with a sustained investment in party infrastructure, continued with a varied effort to clear the field of formidable opponents and culminated with the domination of his opponent.
By Tuesday, voters may have remained disgusted with Reid and unhappy with his pursuit of a Democratic agenda, but — thanks to Reid’s $20 million effort to define his opponent as extreme and dangerous — their disgust with Angle ran deeper.
“I can’t believe she was even on the ballot,” said Alice Hatfield, a Las Vegas Republican who voted for Reid. “Doing away with Social Security, Medicaid, privatizing the VA — no way. Harry needs to go, but there’s nobody on the ballot to replace him.”"
Las Vegas Review-Journal
"Reid comfortably defeated Republican opponent Sharron Angle, whose passionate but disorganized following of conservatives and Tea Party supporters was no match for the traditional Democrats, minorities, unions and "Republicans for Reid" power brokers the incumbent aligned for victory."
Washington Examiner:
"Nevada voters don't want Harry Reid, re-elect him anyway"
Washington Post: "Reid's win in Nevada counted on Angle's weaknesses"
Wednesday, November 3, 2010
Tuesday, November 2, 2010
Friday, October 29, 2010
10/29
RalstonFlash: Democrats surge in Clark County, blunt GOP gains for first time
Morning Score:
NEVADA EXCLUSIVE - LEAVING LAS VEGAS: Republican Senate candidate Sharron Angle is targeting her state's largest city with an arresting new television ad, featuring President Barack Obama's infamous exhortation that companies shouldn't be spending money there. "Harry Reid and Barack Obama: Together they promised change," the ad begins. "Then came this." Two clips of Obama appear in quick succession, showing the president telling audiences: "Don't blow a bunch of cash on Vegas. ... You can't go take a trip to Las Vegas." The narrator takes over again: "What change did that bring to Las Vegas? We now suffer heartbreaking job losses, while our state leads the nation in home foreclosures and bankruptcies." The spot, produced by the GOP firm BrabenderCox, is a variation on a statewide spot Angle's campaign unveiled yesterday, with a less Vegas-specific message: "They promised change. Now, it's our turn." Angle was 4 points ahead of Reid in a Mason-Dixon poll published this morning, leading 49 percent to 45 percent. Watch her new ad here: http://bit.ly/aU4syl and see the polling here: http://bit.ly/cPtu7O
Morning Score:
NEVADA EXCLUSIVE - LEAVING LAS VEGAS: Republican Senate candidate Sharron Angle is targeting her state's largest city with an arresting new television ad, featuring President Barack Obama's infamous exhortation that companies shouldn't be spending money there. "Harry Reid and Barack Obama: Together they promised change," the ad begins. "Then came this." Two clips of Obama appear in quick succession, showing the president telling audiences: "Don't blow a bunch of cash on Vegas. ... You can't go take a trip to Las Vegas." The narrator takes over again: "What change did that bring to Las Vegas? We now suffer heartbreaking job losses, while our state leads the nation in home foreclosures and bankruptcies." The spot, produced by the GOP firm BrabenderCox, is a variation on a statewide spot Angle's campaign unveiled yesterday, with a less Vegas-specific message: "They promised change. Now, it's our turn." Angle was 4 points ahead of Reid in a Mason-Dixon poll published this morning, leading 49 percent to 45 percent. Watch her new ad here: http://bit.ly/aU4syl and see the polling here: http://bit.ly/cPtu7O
Thursday, October 28, 2010
10/28
Ralston Flash: GOP closing in on 5 percentage point edge in Clark County, but Democrats have 14,000 raw vote lead in urban Nevada
Monday, October 25, 2010
10/25
Angle campaign sends out an email detailing allegations that the Reid camp is trying to buy votes using food and gift cards--- and that the SOS (D) is allowing it.
HEADLINE: When you can't beat them, Steal it.
It's still the economy, stupid.
Harry Reid's final ad, launched over the weekend, focuses on a simple message: Reid has saved jobs and will continue to take care of Nevada; Sharron Angle's policies will cost Nevada jobs and "be the knockout punch to the economy."
Also over the weekend:
“I don’t work for the president,” Reid said in an interview. “I don’t carry his water or anybody in the administration’s water.” In the final days, Reid is really driving home his "independent" claims--- even as Obama stumped for him in Vegas on Friday.
HEADLINE: When you can't beat them, Steal it.
It's still the economy, stupid.
Harry Reid's final ad, launched over the weekend, focuses on a simple message: Reid has saved jobs and will continue to take care of Nevada; Sharron Angle's policies will cost Nevada jobs and "be the knockout punch to the economy."
Also over the weekend:
“I don’t work for the president,” Reid said in an interview. “I don’t carry his water or anybody in the administration’s water.” In the final days, Reid is really driving home his "independent" claims--- even as Obama stumped for him in Vegas on Friday.
10/24
-Ralston Flash:
Republicans inch up in early voting advantage, now lead in urban counties by just over 2 percent---
-Obama urges crowd at school rally to re-elect Harry Reid as senator (Las Vegas Review Journal)
http://www.lvrj.com/news/reid--angle-seek-gain-from-obama-visit-105565043.html
Setting the stakes high, President Barack Obama made an impassioned plea Friday night to thousands of supporters in Las Vegas to help re-elect Harry Reid. "The main reason I'm here, the main reason I need you fired up is because in just 11 days you have the chance to set the direction of this state and this country -- not just for the next five years, for the next 10 years, but for the next several decades," Obama declared.
-Senate race attracting big bucks from outside Nevada (Las Vegas Review Journal)
http://www.lvrj.com/news/more-outside-money-flows-into-nevada-senate-race-for-advertising-105575188.html
In a blitz of late spending, outside interest groups have in recent days poured nearly $5.2 million into television, radio and direct-mail advertising aimed at influencing Nevada voters. The expenditures between Oct. 8 and Oct. 21 bring total outside spending in Nevada's marquee U.S. Senate race to $13.5 million, according to the Center for Responsive Politics.
-Democrats hold edge over Republicans in early voting turnout so far (Las Vegas Review Journal)
http://www.lvrj.com/news/democrats-hold-edge-over-republicans-in-early-voting-turnout-so-far-105575383.html
The reputed Republican surge is still a ripple in Nevada's most populous county after six days of early voting, according to Clark County voter tallies. In Washoe County, Nevada's other urban center, Republicans have a nearly 7 percentage point turnout advantage. It adds up to Democrats representing 45 percent of the early turnout in the two counties and Republicans 40 percent.
-MGM Resorts Boosts Contribution to PAC Backing Reid (Bloomberg)
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-10-22/mgm-increases-contributions-to-pac-backing-senate-leader-reid.html
MGM Resorts International gave $250,000 this month to a political action committee airing ads in support of Harry Reid. It was MGM’s second donation to the Patriot Majority PAC, Federal Election Commission records show. MGM’s donation accounted for most of the $353,675 raised Oct. 1-15 by Patriot Majority.
-Reid’s endorsements make for strange bedfellows: That they've found themselves in the same camp is a testimony to the power of Reid's position as majority leader, said David Damore, a political science professor at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas. "They all want their interests protected and who better to do it than the majority leader," he said. "There's an old adage that politics makes strange bedfellows, and that's the case here." http://www.rgj.com/article/20101024/NEWS19/10240342/Nevada-Senate-race-makes-for-strange-bedfellows-
Republicans inch up in early voting advantage, now lead in urban counties by just over 2 percent---
-Obama urges crowd at school rally to re-elect Harry Reid as senator (Las Vegas Review Journal)
http://www.lvrj.com/news/reid--angle-seek-gain-from-obama-visit-105565043.html
Setting the stakes high, President Barack Obama made an impassioned plea Friday night to thousands of supporters in Las Vegas to help re-elect Harry Reid. "The main reason I'm here, the main reason I need you fired up is because in just 11 days you have the chance to set the direction of this state and this country -- not just for the next five years, for the next 10 years, but for the next several decades," Obama declared.
-Senate race attracting big bucks from outside Nevada (Las Vegas Review Journal)
http://www.lvrj.com/news/more-outside-money-flows-into-nevada-senate-race-for-advertising-105575188.html
In a blitz of late spending, outside interest groups have in recent days poured nearly $5.2 million into television, radio and direct-mail advertising aimed at influencing Nevada voters. The expenditures between Oct. 8 and Oct. 21 bring total outside spending in Nevada's marquee U.S. Senate race to $13.5 million, according to the Center for Responsive Politics.
-Democrats hold edge over Republicans in early voting turnout so far (Las Vegas Review Journal)
http://www.lvrj.com/news/democrats-hold-edge-over-republicans-in-early-voting-turnout-so-far-105575383.html
The reputed Republican surge is still a ripple in Nevada's most populous county after six days of early voting, according to Clark County voter tallies. In Washoe County, Nevada's other urban center, Republicans have a nearly 7 percentage point turnout advantage. It adds up to Democrats representing 45 percent of the early turnout in the two counties and Republicans 40 percent.
-MGM Resorts Boosts Contribution to PAC Backing Reid (Bloomberg)
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-10-22/mgm-increases-contributions-to-pac-backing-senate-leader-reid.html
MGM Resorts International gave $250,000 this month to a political action committee airing ads in support of Harry Reid. It was MGM’s second donation to the Patriot Majority PAC, Federal Election Commission records show. MGM’s donation accounted for most of the $353,675 raised Oct. 1-15 by Patriot Majority.
-Reid’s endorsements make for strange bedfellows: That they've found themselves in the same camp is a testimony to the power of Reid's position as majority leader, said David Damore, a political science professor at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas. "They all want their interests protected and who better to do it than the majority leader," he said. "There's an old adage that politics makes strange bedfellows, and that's the case here." http://www.rgj.com/article/20101024/NEWS19/10240342/Nevada-Senate-race-makes-for-strange-bedfellows-
Saturday, October 23, 2010
10/23
Love-hate relationship with Washington plays out in Nevada politics:
The West has long been torn between attacking and cozying up to the federal government. Now Harry Reid and Sharron Angle have picked sides in that fight.
The West has long been torn between attacking and cozying up to the federal government. Now Harry Reid and Sharron Angle have picked sides in that fight.
Monday, October 18, 2010
10/18
Interesting.
erbose Jon Ralston goes strangely quiet
Posted by Sherman Frederick
Monday, Oct. 18, 2010 at 10:51 AM
Jon Ralston and the Las Vegas Sun changed the first headline published on his column last Friday from:
"Reid lost the debate to Angle"
to ...
"Thoughts on the Reid-Angle debate".
Now, Jon's Sunday column headline was changed after publication from:
"Jon Ralston is aghast, still, at Reid’s inability to control debate"
to ...
"Will Angle win by revising history, slandering Reid?".
The Sun's and Ralston's bias for Reid couldn't get much clearer than that. Who knows how many other headlines and content are revised day-to-day to booster Reid's flagging campaign. You'd have to actually read a Ralston column all the way through to know that, and who among us willing to do that? All we really know is that you usually can't shut Jon up about anything. After getting called out on this, however, he remains strangely quiet.
erbose Jon Ralston goes strangely quiet
Posted by Sherman Frederick
Monday, Oct. 18, 2010 at 10:51 AM
Jon Ralston and the Las Vegas Sun changed the first headline published on his column last Friday from:
"Reid lost the debate to Angle"
to ...
"Thoughts on the Reid-Angle debate".
Now, Jon's Sunday column headline was changed after publication from:
"Jon Ralston is aghast, still, at Reid’s inability to control debate"
to ...
"Will Angle win by revising history, slandering Reid?".
The Sun's and Ralston's bias for Reid couldn't get much clearer than that. Who knows how many other headlines and content are revised day-to-day to booster Reid's flagging campaign. You'd have to actually read a Ralston column all the way through to know that, and who among us willing to do that? All we really know is that you usually can't shut Jon up about anything. After getting called out on this, however, he remains strangely quiet.
Sunday, October 17, 2010
10/17
LVRJ does profile pieces on Reid and Angle.
Angle: Unpopular, but well-intentioned.
Reid: living the high life in Washington spending other people's money.
Angle: Unpopular, but well-intentioned.
Reid: living the high life in Washington spending other people's money.
Friday, October 15, 2010
10/15
Debate reviews:
T.A. Frank of The New Republic says:
If your campaign is based on portraying your opponent as loony, then why give that opponent a chance to look reasonable? Lyndon Johnson never debated Barry Goldwater. Then again, I’m no political strategist. And neither, I’ve come to see, is Harry Reid. So let’s focus on what matters now: that a debate was held in Nevada last night between Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and his Republican challenger Sharron Angle. And its upshot was—sorry, folks—that Angle improved her chances.
T.A. Frank of The New Republic says:
If your campaign is based on portraying your opponent as loony, then why give that opponent a chance to look reasonable? Lyndon Johnson never debated Barry Goldwater. Then again, I’m no political strategist. And neither, I’ve come to see, is Harry Reid. So let’s focus on what matters now: that a debate was held in Nevada last night between Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and his Republican challenger Sharron Angle. And its upshot was—sorry, folks—that Angle improved her chances.
Thursday, October 7, 2010
10/7
Senate Minority Leader Bill Raggio, R-Reno, today endorsed Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in his difficult re-election bid against Republican Sharron Angle.
Raggio's Endorsement here.
What does Bill Raggio's endorsement of Harry Reid mean?
Ralston: It means he may get a threat to his leader's position in 2011. It means he really doesn't like Sharron Angle. But it probably doesn't mean he got Reid a lot of votes he wouldn't already have won over. The GOP caucus for Reid already is set - publicly and privately - and that group could well sway the election. But I doubt too many folks will be swayed by Raggio's endorsement.
It also plays into Angle's theme that she is not of the Establishment, but that, too, was already known and those voters are with her already. This is all not much more than noise at this point, although I bet it was a gut-wrenching decision for Raggio. He would never have endorsed Angle but the safer move would have been to sit it out.
It is a measure of how much he dislikes Angle and how disastrous he apparently believes she would be - based on his statement.
Raggio's Endorsement here.
What does Bill Raggio's endorsement of Harry Reid mean?
Ralston: It means he may get a threat to his leader's position in 2011. It means he really doesn't like Sharron Angle. But it probably doesn't mean he got Reid a lot of votes he wouldn't already have won over. The GOP caucus for Reid already is set - publicly and privately - and that group could well sway the election. But I doubt too many folks will be swayed by Raggio's endorsement.
It also plays into Angle's theme that she is not of the Establishment, but that, too, was already known and those voters are with her already. This is all not much more than noise at this point, although I bet it was a gut-wrenching decision for Raggio. He would never have endorsed Angle but the safer move would have been to sit it out.
It is a measure of how much he dislikes Angle and how disastrous he apparently believes she would be - based on his statement.
Monday, October 4, 2010
9/29 - 10/6
-Reid criticized for Andersen Dairy by Ponderosa Dairy.
-James Carville told POLITICO, “She’s running the worst campaign in the country, and she could still win.”
Harry Reid is not saying "I'm a good choice" he is saying "I am a better choice than"
"Let's make a deal Reid" - now Angle is offering sweetheart deals to Ashjian
POS poll: first time Reid has been ahead outside the margin of error since the primary.
Testimonials raising positives or Angle (with Ashjian and Autism) ?
-James Carville told POLITICO, “She’s running the worst campaign in the country, and she could still win.”
Harry Reid is not saying "I'm a good choice" he is saying "I am a better choice than"
"Let's make a deal Reid" - now Angle is offering sweetheart deals to Ashjian
POS poll: first time Reid has been ahead outside the margin of error since the primary.
Testimonials raising positives or Angle (with Ashjian and Autism) ?
Sunday, October 3, 2010
10/3
Ashjian-gate
Reid mini-gaffe.
David Brody asks Reid: "Can you think of a greatest living American?" His response: 2 dead Senators.
Reid mini-gaffe.
David Brody asks Reid: "Can you think of a greatest living American?" His response: 2 dead Senators.
Tuesday, September 28, 2010
9/28
Sebelius pounds Angle over autism comments.
The next Tea Party Express cross-country tour will begin in Nevada.
WSJ on Scott Ashjian: A Vegas Character who just might matter.
Angle: I never said I wanted to privatize the VA — but, of course, she did.
The next Tea Party Express cross-country tour will begin in Nevada.
WSJ on Scott Ashjian: A Vegas Character who just might matter.
Angle: I never said I wanted to privatize the VA — but, of course, she did.
Monday, September 27, 2010
9/27
- Tea Party activist: Nevada Senate race is 'No. 1 goal'
Fiscal discipline called key issue for movement
Amy Kremer, chairwoman of Tea Party Express, said in an interview before attending a private fundraiser for Angle in Las Vegas. Polls show Angle and Reid locked in a dead heat for the Nevada Senate seat.
- A COUPLE OF REAL POLL NUGGETS:
Nugget No. 1 - It's a good 24 hours when you can post the RJ's poll results before the antediluvian "newspaper" figures out how to post them to the Web and also release results of a poll not designed to show Sharron Angle in the best light. What's beautiful about the Public Opinion Strategies is that it can't be assailed because Glen Bolger is one of the best in the business, and it was done for a conservative group, the Retail Association of Nevada.
This race still is tight and any incumbent with a 51 percent unfavorable rating has to worry that the undecideds will break against him, even if his opponent has a 52 percent negative rating.
But, finally, a public poll that confirms private data I have seen. More on the findings Sunday in my Sun column.
-------------------------------------------------------------
Post-Class
Reids numbers go up when he is back in washington. Despite not accomplishing his priorities like dream act or dadt. POS poll
How has he appealed to target audiences based on what he is doing in DC?
10/14 debate.
10/16 early voting begins.
Expect message adaptation at debate.
Fiscal discipline called key issue for movement
Amy Kremer, chairwoman of Tea Party Express, said in an interview before attending a private fundraiser for Angle in Las Vegas. Polls show Angle and Reid locked in a dead heat for the Nevada Senate seat.
- A COUPLE OF REAL POLL NUGGETS:
Nugget No. 1 - It's a good 24 hours when you can post the RJ's poll results before the antediluvian "newspaper" figures out how to post them to the Web and also release results of a poll not designed to show Sharron Angle in the best light. What's beautiful about the Public Opinion Strategies is that it can't be assailed because Glen Bolger is one of the best in the business, and it was done for a conservative group, the Retail Association of Nevada.
This race still is tight and any incumbent with a 51 percent unfavorable rating has to worry that the undecideds will break against him, even if his opponent has a 52 percent negative rating.
But, finally, a public poll that confirms private data I have seen. More on the findings Sunday in my Sun column.
-------------------------------------------------------------
Post-Class
Reids numbers go up when he is back in washington. Despite not accomplishing his priorities like dream act or dadt. POS poll
How has he appealed to target audiences based on what he is doing in DC?
10/14 debate.
10/16 early voting begins.
Expect message adaptation at debate.
Friday, September 24, 2010
9/24
Good news for both Elder and Younger in stunning results found by Public Opinion Strategies, experienced in Nevada and respected nationally, in survey to be released later today by Retail Association of Nevada (also hardly a bastion of liberalism).
Harry Reid 45, Sharron Angle, 40
Brian Sandoval 45, Rory Reid, 39
Paradigm shift? Don't think so. Most public polls have had unreliable samples. POS' Glen Bolger knows what he is doing and Democrats are coming home, Reid the Elder has been pounding Angle, and Reid the Younger has been pummeling Sandoval.
This is part of a series of polls POS has conducted for RAN, and it also shows three-quarters of the public think the economy is headed in the wrong direction, and people are concerned about unemployment and taxes. It also shows a merit selection for judges question winning.
Full poll here.
---------
This is a piece from the forum they did last night. As agreed upon, Reid was not there. He pre-taped his answers. No questions on EFCA, and the event was taped in advance of the NMB resolution so no questions about that either.
This was mentioned on previous field calls. This is the event Angle agreed to, then backed out. Putting Reid supporters and Tea party people in the same room can be an issue.
There will be no audience at the on the October 14th debate.
Brawl erupts between Reid, Angle supporters at forum
http://www.lvrj.com/news/fight-erupts-at-reid--angle-election-forum-103685344.html
Harry Reid 45, Sharron Angle, 40
Brian Sandoval 45, Rory Reid, 39
Paradigm shift? Don't think so. Most public polls have had unreliable samples. POS' Glen Bolger knows what he is doing and Democrats are coming home, Reid the Elder has been pounding Angle, and Reid the Younger has been pummeling Sandoval.
This is part of a series of polls POS has conducted for RAN, and it also shows three-quarters of the public think the economy is headed in the wrong direction, and people are concerned about unemployment and taxes. It also shows a merit selection for judges question winning.
Full poll here.
---------
This is a piece from the forum they did last night. As agreed upon, Reid was not there. He pre-taped his answers. No questions on EFCA, and the event was taped in advance of the NMB resolution so no questions about that either.
This was mentioned on previous field calls. This is the event Angle agreed to, then backed out. Putting Reid supporters and Tea party people in the same room can be an issue.
There will be no audience at the on the October 14th debate.
Brawl erupts between Reid, Angle supporters at forum
http://www.lvrj.com/news/fight-erupts-at-reid--angle-election-forum-103685344.html
Thursday, September 23, 2010
Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Tuesday 9/21
- Harry Reid calls Kirsten Gillibrand the "hottest member". Odd.
- "Sharron Angle: Just Too Extreme"
RALSTON:
A QUINTET OF U.S. SENATE RACE NUGGETS:
Nugget No. 1 - FOX News gushes like an RJ reporter/editor/publisher in reporting a dead heat (again) in the race: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2010/09/21/fox-news-polls-track-tea-party-influence-battleground-states/
But a look at the crosstabs of these cheap polls once again reveals infirmities that raise questions about any of the results. You can find them on the same page.
Even though they just did a poll in the race, the FOX folks conducted another and still have independents as way too much of the universe - 29 percent, which is twice their registered numbers in the state - and have Republicans and Democrats essentially even. If they had kept the same model as before - also skewed - Reid would be leading by 1. And Reid losing independents to Angle by 19 points? Seems strange.
Can anyone get me a sample in one of these polls that makes any sense?
Nugget No. 2 - A new Angle web ad is a DREAM to look at: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fEyU4Zf2DYE
I predict TV ads with a similar theme soon - Reid loves amnesty, causes unemployment.
Nugget No. 3 - Why does the Angle campaign keep denying things - as she repeatedly did on a recent FOX News interview - that so easily can be refuted by audio or video clips? Truly bizarre.
The latest: Reid puts out a new ad designed to appeal to veterans: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Q2fdBLRKP8
Angle spokesman Jerry Stacy responds thusly:
"Sharron Angle's father is a veteran of World War II and the Korean War and receives care from a Veterans' Affairs hospital. Never has Sharron Angle called for privatizing Veterans' Affairs and never has Sharron called for the end of Veterans' Affairs"
What? There is audio, used previously, from an interview with KNPR in which Angle clearly says she wants a "privatized system."
This is a familiar pattern: Say something, then pretend it was never said, apparently forgetting there is this thing called videotape and often it is on the Internet.
Orwell would love this technique.
Nugget No. 4 - One person who is making a horse's patootie out of himself in the crossfire of this race is GOP Assemblyman Ed Goedhart, who owns a dairy company and put out a news release attacking that Reid ad by Anderson Dairy folks as showing he favored one company over another. The backbencher, whose only claim to fame so far was to defend viewing what appeared to be porn by saying it was research for a fishing trip, has served nicely as a bullet for smashmouth Reid-basher Chuck Muth's gun.
But now Goedhart has followed up with another release, referring folks to a Washington Post story he says backs up his allegations against Reid: http://www.keepmilkpriceslow.org/g2gnews/news12112006.htm
It is a fascinating story, but it might have too many words for Goedhart to read because he seems to have missed two critical points besides Reid's involvement on behalf of Anderson Dairy:
1. It was Jon Kyl's idea. He's a GOP senator, Mr. Ed.
2. Speaker-in-Hoping John Boehner pulled a nice stunt to get it through the House. He's also a Republican, Mr. Ed.
We asked Goedhart to come on "Face to Face" to debate the issue with Anderson Dairy. He agreed, then backed out. When I asked him why, he said his story didn't lend itself to "sound bites." Then he accused me of just listening to Reid's folks on the subject - I have not even talked to Reid's people about this topic. And after I asked him about the GOP connections to the bill, he suggested the next thing I'd do is blame Bush 43.
You can't make this stuff up. And he is a duly elected official.
Nugget No. 5 - American Crossroads and Patriot Majority are back:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FZOKv_NPW9o
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=056xxfoJ6cQ
- "Sharron Angle: Just Too Extreme"
RALSTON:
A QUINTET OF U.S. SENATE RACE NUGGETS:
Nugget No. 1 - FOX News gushes like an RJ reporter/editor/publisher in reporting a dead heat (again) in the race: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2010/09/21/fox-news-polls-track-tea-party-influence-battleground-states/
But a look at the crosstabs of these cheap polls once again reveals infirmities that raise questions about any of the results. You can find them on the same page.
Even though they just did a poll in the race, the FOX folks conducted another and still have independents as way too much of the universe - 29 percent, which is twice their registered numbers in the state - and have Republicans and Democrats essentially even. If they had kept the same model as before - also skewed - Reid would be leading by 1. And Reid losing independents to Angle by 19 points? Seems strange.
Can anyone get me a sample in one of these polls that makes any sense?
Nugget No. 2 - A new Angle web ad is a DREAM to look at: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fEyU4Zf2DYE
I predict TV ads with a similar theme soon - Reid loves amnesty, causes unemployment.
Nugget No. 3 - Why does the Angle campaign keep denying things - as she repeatedly did on a recent FOX News interview - that so easily can be refuted by audio or video clips? Truly bizarre.
The latest: Reid puts out a new ad designed to appeal to veterans: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Q2fdBLRKP8
Angle spokesman Jerry Stacy responds thusly:
"Sharron Angle's father is a veteran of World War II and the Korean War and receives care from a Veterans' Affairs hospital. Never has Sharron Angle called for privatizing Veterans' Affairs and never has Sharron called for the end of Veterans' Affairs"
What? There is audio, used previously, from an interview with KNPR in which Angle clearly says she wants a "privatized system."
This is a familiar pattern: Say something, then pretend it was never said, apparently forgetting there is this thing called videotape and often it is on the Internet.
Orwell would love this technique.
Nugget No. 4 - One person who is making a horse's patootie out of himself in the crossfire of this race is GOP Assemblyman Ed Goedhart, who owns a dairy company and put out a news release attacking that Reid ad by Anderson Dairy folks as showing he favored one company over another. The backbencher, whose only claim to fame so far was to defend viewing what appeared to be porn by saying it was research for a fishing trip, has served nicely as a bullet for smashmouth Reid-basher Chuck Muth's gun.
But now Goedhart has followed up with another release, referring folks to a Washington Post story he says backs up his allegations against Reid: http://www.keepmilkpriceslow.org/g2gnews/news12112006.htm
It is a fascinating story, but it might have too many words for Goedhart to read because he seems to have missed two critical points besides Reid's involvement on behalf of Anderson Dairy:
1. It was Jon Kyl's idea. He's a GOP senator, Mr. Ed.
2. Speaker-in-Hoping John Boehner pulled a nice stunt to get it through the House. He's also a Republican, Mr. Ed.
We asked Goedhart to come on "Face to Face" to debate the issue with Anderson Dairy. He agreed, then backed out. When I asked him why, he said his story didn't lend itself to "sound bites." Then he accused me of just listening to Reid's folks on the subject - I have not even talked to Reid's people about this topic. And after I asked him about the GOP connections to the bill, he suggested the next thing I'd do is blame Bush 43.
You can't make this stuff up. And he is a duly elected official.
Nugget No. 5 - American Crossroads and Patriot Majority are back:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FZOKv_NPW9o
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=056xxfoJ6cQ
Monday, September 20, 2010
9/20
Weekend update:
- Angle accuses HR of supporting SS for illegal immigrants. Reid responds. "quote"
(KRNV's Anjeanette Damon took a look at Angle's latest false attack ad and gave the central claims of the ad an "F" for lying about Senator Reid's record on immigration.)
- Angle goes after Reid on that vaguely true point, but doesn't even touch him on the DREAM Act--- which Reid has said he will bring to the Senate floor this week along with DADT repeal.
- OFA (now a project of the DNC) plans an Organizing Rally in Las Vegas, Nevada
Friday, October 22.
- SUV-Gate
-RalstonFlash--Nevada unemployment rate at 14.4 percent in August
14.7 percent in Las Vegas.
Still highest in country.
Was 14.3 percent in July.
- Angle accuses HR of supporting SS for illegal immigrants. Reid responds. "quote"
(KRNV's Anjeanette Damon took a look at Angle's latest false attack ad and gave the central claims of the ad an "F" for lying about Senator Reid's record on immigration.)
- Angle goes after Reid on that vaguely true point, but doesn't even touch him on the DREAM Act--- which Reid has said he will bring to the Senate floor this week along with DADT repeal.
- OFA (now a project of the DNC) plans an Organizing Rally in Las Vegas, Nevada
Friday, October 22.
- SUV-Gate
-RalstonFlash--Nevada unemployment rate at 14.4 percent in August
14.7 percent in Las Vegas.
Still highest in country.
Was 14.3 percent in July.
Saturday, September 18, 2010
Friday, September 17, 2010
9/17
Ralston Flash:
Nugget No. 2 - Harry Reid continues to experience blowback from his Chris Coons/pet carelessness, with Newsweek and Vanity Fair posting brutal pieces on it, and Coons' opponent, Christine O'Donnell, using it to raise money.
-- Newsweek
-- Vanity Fair
Fact-checking reveals problems with Angle's ad calling Harry Reid "the best friend an illegal alien ever had."
Nugget No. 2 - Harry Reid continues to experience blowback from his Chris Coons/pet carelessness, with Newsweek and Vanity Fair posting brutal pieces on it, and Coons' opponent, Christine O'Donnell, using it to raise money.
-- Newsweek
-- Vanity Fair
Fact-checking reveals problems with Angle's ad calling Harry Reid "the best friend an illegal alien ever had."
Thursday, September 16, 2010
9/16
ADS:
Sharron Angle has a new ad on immigration, specif. the Arizona immigration law, and accuses Reid of supporting Social Security for illegal immigrants. True?
CONTROVERSY and 3rd PARTIES
- Failed GOP Primary candidate Danny Tarkanian sent a letter to Harry Reid today, calling on him to promise he will not pass unpopular legislation during a lame duck.
* ALSO, Democrats filed an FEC complaint that Danny Tarkanian's third-party group, Harry Reid Votes, is coordinating with the Angle campaign. *
- Club For Growth Action launched 5 new ads today targeting Reid, Crist, Sestak, Feingold, and Bennet.
Morning Score:
ANTE FOR ANGLE: Senate Republicans, including John Cornyn, Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and Whip Jon Kyl are hosting a fundraiser today for Nevada Senate candidate Sharron Angle. The event is scheduled to take place at NRSC headquarters, according to an invitation obtained by Morning Score, with a requested donation of $1,000 for PACs and $500 for individuals.
BIG NAMES IN NEVADA:
According to Jon Ralston, "Bill Clinton was here today (and is expected again next month), Sarah Palin may come and President Obama is coming."
REUTERS
Two Nevada opinions:
1. "I'm a die-hard Republican. But I'm a Nevadan first. And what is good for Nevada is to get Harry Reid re-elected," vowed Jim Murren, the head of casino company MGM Mirage, which has benefited from lobbying by Reid.
2. "I think Harry Reid should be taken out. I'm not sure Sharron Angle could do any better," said Las Vegas hairdresser Helen Elgas, 47, a registered Republican.
Sharron Angle has a new ad on immigration, specif. the Arizona immigration law, and accuses Reid of supporting Social Security for illegal immigrants. True?
CONTROVERSY and 3rd PARTIES
- Failed GOP Primary candidate Danny Tarkanian sent a letter to Harry Reid today, calling on him to promise he will not pass unpopular legislation during a lame duck.
* ALSO, Democrats filed an FEC complaint that Danny Tarkanian's third-party group, Harry Reid Votes, is coordinating with the Angle campaign. *
- Club For Growth Action launched 5 new ads today targeting Reid, Crist, Sestak, Feingold, and Bennet.
Morning Score:
ANTE FOR ANGLE: Senate Republicans, including John Cornyn, Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and Whip Jon Kyl are hosting a fundraiser today for Nevada Senate candidate Sharron Angle. The event is scheduled to take place at NRSC headquarters, according to an invitation obtained by Morning Score, with a requested donation of $1,000 for PACs and $500 for individuals.
BIG NAMES IN NEVADA:
According to Jon Ralston, "Bill Clinton was here today (and is expected again next month), Sarah Palin may come and President Obama is coming."
REUTERS
Two Nevada opinions:
1. "I'm a die-hard Republican. But I'm a Nevadan first. And what is good for Nevada is to get Harry Reid re-elected," vowed Jim Murren, the head of casino company MGM Mirage, which has benefited from lobbying by Reid.
2. "I think Harry Reid should be taken out. I'm not sure Sharron Angle could do any better," said Las Vegas hairdresser Helen Elgas, 47, a registered Republican.
CNN: Angle 42, Reid 41.
Reid-Angle Race All Tied Up
CNN
Paul Steinhauser – September 15, 2010
A new poll indicates that the bitter campaign battle in Nevada between Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and Republican challenger Sharron Angle is deadlocked.
Highlights:
- Sampling error = +/- 3.5% pts.
- Reid has an advantage among women while Angle leads among men.
- 5% support Scott Ashjian, who's running as a Tea Party candidate but who is shunned by many in the grassroots conservative moment
- 11% say they are voting for none of the candidates listed.
- Angle: 7-pt advantage among independents.
- The survey also suggests a strong gender divide.
"The traditional gender gap has always meant that men favor Republicans and women favor Democrats, and it looks like that pattern is emerging in Nevada despite the fact that the Republican is a woman and the Democrat is a man," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "Nevada voters are motivated more by traditional partisan differences rather than identity politics."
The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted September 10-14, with 789 likely voters questioned by telephone.
CNN
Paul Steinhauser – September 15, 2010
A new poll indicates that the bitter campaign battle in Nevada between Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and Republican challenger Sharron Angle is deadlocked.
Highlights:
- Sampling error = +/- 3.5% pts.
- Reid has an advantage among women while Angle leads among men.
- 5% support Scott Ashjian, who's running as a Tea Party candidate but who is shunned by many in the grassroots conservative moment
- 11% say they are voting for none of the candidates listed.
- Angle: 7-pt advantage among independents.
- The survey also suggests a strong gender divide.
"The traditional gender gap has always meant that men favor Republicans and women favor Democrats, and it looks like that pattern is emerging in Nevada despite the fact that the Republican is a woman and the Democrat is a man," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "Nevada voters are motivated more by traditional partisan differences rather than identity politics."
The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted September 10-14, with 789 likely voters questioned by telephone.
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
NRSC basic bullets
Nevada – Harry Reid, D
-Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is one of the most vulnerable senators in the Democratic caucus.
-After a multi-million dollar media blitz, Reid’s numbers have still not improved.
-The liberal Democratic agenda that Reid is charged with touting is out of step with the voters of Nevada.
-Former State Assemblywoman Sharron Angle is the Republican nominee.
-The Nevada U.S. Senate race is currently in a dead heat. Angle outraised Reid in the -2nd quarter $2.6M- $2.4M but trails him in cash on hand $1.8M to $9M.
-Angle is poised to give Reid a strong challenge in November.
Primary Date was June 8, 2010.
-Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is one of the most vulnerable senators in the Democratic caucus.
-After a multi-million dollar media blitz, Reid’s numbers have still not improved.
-The liberal Democratic agenda that Reid is charged with touting is out of step with the voters of Nevada.
-Former State Assemblywoman Sharron Angle is the Republican nominee.
-The Nevada U.S. Senate race is currently in a dead heat. Angle outraised Reid in the -2nd quarter $2.6M- $2.4M but trails him in cash on hand $1.8M to $9M.
-Angle is poised to give Reid a strong challenge in November.
Primary Date was June 8, 2010.
9/15
MONEY:
Ralston Nugget- "If you don't believe Sharron Angle knows how to use FOX News to fundraise, her campaign tells me she raised $200,000 from those who saw that withering interview Sean Hannity conducted with her on Friday. The Angleites also claim they had one of their best online fundraising weeks of the campaign.
The Reid folks are hopeful Angle is having money problems because she has changed her ad buys recently, placing and then cancelling orders, I am told. But the Angle folks insist they are going week to week to keep Team Reid guessing. It's working."
BELTWAY:
- The White House's new attacks on House Minority Leader John Boehner may call unwanted attention to Harry Reid's less desirable record. Though WH PressSec Robert Gibbs recently portrayed Leader Boehner as "especially" indebted to lobbyists, Harry Reid raised cash from lobbyists 2 to Boehner's 1.
ON MESSAGE:
- Reid campaign continues to depict Angle as confused, amateur, and self-contradicting, and she helps him.
THOUGHTS:
So far, neither candidate appears in their ads--- because both are very unpopular, albeit for different reasons. Recent Reuters article agrees:
"It's a very strange race because neither of one them is particularly likable," said University of Nevada Las Vegas Associate Professor David Damore.
Interesting bedfellows: Rove and Angle. ? Rove's efforts through Crossroads GPS have carried Angle.
Sharron Angle doesn't have so many supporters as Harry Reid has enemies.
Ralston Nugget- "If you don't believe Sharron Angle knows how to use FOX News to fundraise, her campaign tells me she raised $200,000 from those who saw that withering interview Sean Hannity conducted with her on Friday. The Angleites also claim they had one of their best online fundraising weeks of the campaign.
The Reid folks are hopeful Angle is having money problems because she has changed her ad buys recently, placing and then cancelling orders, I am told. But the Angle folks insist they are going week to week to keep Team Reid guessing. It's working."
BELTWAY:
- The White House's new attacks on House Minority Leader John Boehner may call unwanted attention to Harry Reid's less desirable record. Though WH PressSec Robert Gibbs recently portrayed Leader Boehner as "especially" indebted to lobbyists, Harry Reid raised cash from lobbyists 2 to Boehner's 1.
ON MESSAGE:
- Reid campaign continues to depict Angle as confused, amateur, and self-contradicting, and she helps him.
THOUGHTS:
So far, neither candidate appears in their ads--- because both are very unpopular, albeit for different reasons. Recent Reuters article agrees:
"It's a very strange race because neither of one them is particularly likable," said University of Nevada Las Vegas Associate Professor David Damore.
Interesting bedfellows: Rove and Angle. ? Rove's efforts through Crossroads GPS have carried Angle.
Sharron Angle doesn't have so many supporters as Harry Reid has enemies.
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
9/14 Background and Til Now
Reuters/Ipsos: Among America's most powerful politicians, Reid finds himself locked in a close contest at home, leading 46 percent to 44 percent among likely voters over Sharron Angle, a former substitute schoolteacher who was almost unknown until several months ago.
- Polls are all neck-and-neck within the margin of error since mid-July. Angle enjoys strong support from many in the Tea Party movement; Reid, the top Democrat in the Senate who's bidding for a fifth term in the chamber.
-9/10: Sharron cancels debate.
Las Vegas Sun columnist Jon Ralston said Friday he arranged an Oct. 21 sit down with the candidates after Angle challenged Reid to a debate in a June interview on Ralston's political show. Angle has since reneged.
- 9/14 Reid Tweets Lady Gaga over DADT #nvsen
http://www.politico.com/click/stories/1009/reid_tweets_lady_gaga_over_dadt.html
- Reid Pushes Small Business Bill, While Promoting Anti-Small Business Legislation
Las Vegas (September 14, 2010) – Senator Harry Reid has announced the Senate’s intention of moving forward this week on a bill to help small businesses. In today’s economy, Nevada’s employers are struggling to survive and that’s what makes Reid’s support for the job-killing Employee ‘Forced’ Choice Act (EFCA) so bewildering.
- How does Rory Reid and the Gub race factor in?
- Polls are all neck-and-neck within the margin of error since mid-July. Angle enjoys strong support from many in the Tea Party movement; Reid, the top Democrat in the Senate who's bidding for a fifth term in the chamber.
-9/10: Sharron cancels debate.
Las Vegas Sun columnist Jon Ralston said Friday he arranged an Oct. 21 sit down with the candidates after Angle challenged Reid to a debate in a June interview on Ralston's political show. Angle has since reneged.
- 9/14 Reid Tweets Lady Gaga over DADT #nvsen
http://www.politico.com/click/stories/1009/reid_tweets_lady_gaga_over_dadt.html
- Reid Pushes Small Business Bill, While Promoting Anti-Small Business Legislation
Las Vegas (September 14, 2010) – Senator Harry Reid has announced the Senate’s intention of moving forward this week on a bill to help small businesses. In today’s economy, Nevada’s employers are struggling to survive and that’s what makes Reid’s support for the job-killing Employee ‘Forced’ Choice Act (EFCA) so bewildering.
- How does Rory Reid and the Gub race factor in?
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